On his own, Dale Link has been predicting the final landfall areas for the United States Atlantic coastline for 20 years, and Gulf of Mexico US coastline 12 years.  He purports to be somewhat accurate for a man without formal training in the Meteorological Sciences and he shares his predictions with his friends.  (Prediction links are at the bottom of this page). He says that, over those years, using his latest methods, the results of those predictions vary and are as follows:

For the US Atlantic coastline from Lubec, MA to Key West, FL (1,800 mile range) over 20 years between 1985 and 2009, 12 hurricanes made landfall (0.6 hurricanes/yr.).  In 14 of those 20 years, he forecasted zero would hit.  10 of those years actually had zero hurricanes hit (77% correct forecasting) and 4 of those years had hurricanes hit (23% wrong).  In the remaining 6 years, he forecasted 9 hurricane landfall zones (with a 300 mile range).  5 of  those zones had hurricanes make landfall (56% correct forecast) and 4 zones had tropical storms make landfall (44%).  The tropical storms did not develop into full hurricanes due to upper level shear winds in 2006 and 2007.  During this 20 year period, all predicted landfall zones had tropical cyclones, either a hurricane or tropical storm make landfall (100% correct). However, during that 20 year period 6 hurricanes landed inside his predicted landfall zones (50%) and 6 landed outside his predicted zones (50%). 

For the US Gulf Of Mexico coastline from Key West, FL to Brownsville, TX (1,500 mile range) over a 12 year period between 1998 and 2009, 15 hurricanes made landfall (1.25 hurricanes/yr.).  In 3 of those 12 years, he forecasted there would be zero hurricane landfalls.  All 3 of those years had zero hurricane landfalls (100% correct forecasting).  In the remaining 9 years, he forecasted 15 hurricane landfall zones (with a 320 mile range).  9 of those zones had hurricanes make landfall (60% correct) and 6 zones had tropical storms make landfall (40%).  During this 12 year period, all predicted landfall zones had tropical cyclones, either a hurricane or tropical storm make landfall (100% correct). However, during that 12 year period 12 hurricanes landed inside his predicted landfall zones (80%) and 3 landed outside his predicted zones (20%). 

 All of that being said, Mr. Link seems to be fairly accurate in predicting tropical cyclones making landfall in his zones and in predicting zero hurricane landfalls for certain years.  He has been correct about 84% of the time (averaging Atlantic and Gulf), and wrong about 16% of the time.  In addition, there seems to be some room for improvement in determining the identity of the tropical cyclone, that is, when a storm is downgraded from a hurricane to a tropical storm due to changing weather conditions, such as upper level shear winds, during the hurricane season.  He is also working at predicting the strength of the tropical cyclone more accurately, such as tropical storm/weak hurricane and therefore more accurately predicting the type of tropical cyclone.

Finally, he has no answer for the occasional stray hurricane landfall areas that are not forecasted, a total miss.  This occurs on average once every four years in the Gulf and once every five years in the Atlantic.

His forecast for the current and prior two years are further down this page.  Also included are his original handwritten forecasts for 2008, 2009 and 2010.